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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.07vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-2.10vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.01University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.0University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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6.65Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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5.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 50.9% | 25.1% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.2% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.1% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 3.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.9% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 16.6% | 15.1% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 48.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.1% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 26.6% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.