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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.02vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58-1.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.13vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06-1.96vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-0.29vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.02University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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1.91Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.87University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.71Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.4% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.1% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 48.9% | 26.9% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.3% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 8.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.4% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 53.3% |
| Florence Duff | 3.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 25.9% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.