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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.08vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62-0.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.40vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-0.28vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.6University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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6.72Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 50.7% | 25.0% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.4% | 15.5% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 3.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 11.0% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.8% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 3.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 7.8% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.6% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 7.2% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 17.4% | 52.8% |
| Florence Duff | 2.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 24.6% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.