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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.00vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58-0.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.67vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-0.96vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.13vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.62-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.0University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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1.94Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.7Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 11.2% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 47.3% | 27.7% | 14.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 7.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.9% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Florence Duff | 3.9% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 23.7% | 25.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 20.4% | 50.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.1% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.