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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+0.89vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+2.04vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.57+3.61vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-2.04vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-2.10vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.89Stanford University2.580.5%1st Place
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4.04University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.61Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.9University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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5.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 49.9% | 25.9% | 14.2% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.5% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 3.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 49.3% |
| Marianna Shand | 9.8% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 2.9% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 7.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.7% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 10.7% |
| Florence Duff | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 24.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.