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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.39+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.17vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+0.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.28vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57+0.67vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.62-2.06vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Stanford University3.390.7%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.08University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.09University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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6.67Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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5.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 66.9% | 23.1% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 6.3% | 14.8% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 8.3% | 4.4% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.3% | 16.3% | 17.8% | 18.8% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 7.2% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 8.0% | 3.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 4.9% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 6.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 18.5% | 48.6% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 11.1% |
| Florence Duff | 1.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 26.6% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.