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📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+1.85vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.35+2.61vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.63+1.04vs Predicted
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4Washington College2.11-0.77vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-1.24vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia0.70-0.12vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03+0.22vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.82-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-1.39-0.32vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.96-1.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.61Drexel University1.350.1%1st Place
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4.04Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.23Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.76Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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5.88University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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7.22Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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7.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.68University of Rochester-1.390.0%1st Place
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9.09William and Mary-0.960.0%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 27.0% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 14.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 21.4% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.6% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Whitman | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Strein | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 13.1% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 24.6% | 17.8% | 2.0% |
| Kasym Qazi | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 36.2% | 10.8% |
| Elizabeth van der Voort | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 24.0% | 6.2% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 10.1% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.