← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Princeton University2.35+1.85vs Predicted
-
2Christopher Newport University1.63+2.03vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University1.35+1.58vs Predicted
-
4Washington College2.11-0.75vs Predicted
-
5Hampton University1.77-1.23vs Predicted
-
6University of Virginia0.70-0.12vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+0.45vs Predicted
-
8University of Delaware-0.82+0.71vs Predicted
-
9Syracuse University-0.03-1.74vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary-0.96-1.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Rochester-1.39-1.21vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.85Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
-
4.03Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
-
4.58Drexel University1.350.1%1st Place
-
3.25Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
-
3.77Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
-
5.88University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
-
7.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
-
8.71University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
-
7.26Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.92William and Mary-0.960.0%1st Place
-
9.79University of Rochester-1.390.0%1st Place
-
11.51U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 26.7% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 14.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 12.1% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 11.0% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 21.7% | 19.9% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.9% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 8.6% | 4.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 14.0% | 17.7% | 17.9% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 3.9% |
| Alexa Whitman | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 18.1% | 10.5% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth van der Voort | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 22.3% | 22.8% | 4.2% |
| Kasym Qazi | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 19.7% | 38.0% | 11.6% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 10.7% | 78.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.