Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

91.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Connor Mraz 26.1% 24.7% 18.9% 13.9% 9.4% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 20.6% 21.7% 17.9% 14.7% 11.1% 9.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 10.8% 9.9% 12.7% 13.3% 15.4% 16.7% 12.8% 5.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Fox 11.8% 15.8% 15.2% 15.7% 17.7% 11.2% 6.2% 4.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 5.6% 5.6% 7.2% 8.9% 13.0% 16.5% 16.0% 14.1% 7.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 2.4% 2.8% 3.7% 5.8% 4.7% 11.0% 15.3% 20.9% 15.8% 12.7% 4.5% 0.4%
Valerio Palamara 18.1% 13.8% 17.2% 16.4% 13.8% 11.1% 5.6% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 1.4% 3.3% 3.7% 4.9% 6.2% 8.5% 16.4% 16.6% 19.3% 12.4% 5.8% 1.5%
Pearce Bragaw 1.3% 1.1% 1.3% 1.9% 3.3% 4.1% 10.1% 13.8% 18.6% 24.4% 17.9% 2.2%
Kasym Qazi 0.5% 0.1% 0.9% 2.8% 2.3% 2.5% 4.2% 7.9% 12.6% 19.5% 35.9% 10.8%
Elizabeth van der Voort 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.7% 3.9% 7.1% 11.1% 18.1% 22.0% 24.0% 6.2%
Raymond Shattuck 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 2.1% 4.5% 10.2% 78.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.