Race 6A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Toby Sullivan 9.9% 9.0% 13.0% 14.5% 17.2% 16.5% 9.9% 6.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 26.8% 24.7% 18.0% 13.0% 9.8% 4.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 20.9% 20.7% 18.0% 15.0% 13.3% 6.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexa Whitman 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 3.9% 7.8% 10.7% 15.6% 17.5% 19.2% 11.5% 4.8% 0.5%
Brian Fox 12.9% 15.5% 15.2% 16.8% 13.4% 12.0% 8.0% 4.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Valerio Palamara 15.8% 15.3% 16.9% 15.9% 15.1% 10.4% 5.8% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 5.8% 6.8% 7.4% 9.4% 11.3% 17.2% 15.3% 13.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Pearce Bragaw 1.1% 1.1% 1.4% 3.7% 3.4% 4.6% 8.6% 13.2% 18.1% 21.9% 18.3% 4.6%
Elizabeth van der Voort 1.2% 0.6% 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 4.3% 8.9% 12.3% 16.1% 26.3% 21.6% 3.4%
Brendan Strein 2.5% 2.7% 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 9.9% 15.6% 17.5% 18.5% 12.6% 6.1% 0.8%
Kasym Qazi 0.8% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 2.9% 4.8% 8.3% 12.1% 18.3% 37.8% 11.2%
Raymond Shattuck 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 1.5% 2.6% 4.0% 10.0% 79.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.