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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brian Fox 11.9% 14.8% 14.8% 17.0% 17.0% 13.3% 8.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 10.5% 10.3% 13.5% 14.7% 16.7% 14.4% 11.2% 6.4% 2.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Stewart Gurnell 19.7% 22.2% 17.5% 15.5% 12.4% 8.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor Mraz 27.2% 21.6% 18.9% 15.7% 8.9% 4.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 5.7% 5.9% 7.3% 10.1% 12.8% 16.9% 17.5% 14.7% 7.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Pearce Bragaw 1.1% 1.6% 1.1% 2.5% 4.1% 4.9% 8.3% 17.4% 27.1% 25.9% 6.0%
Valerio Palamara 18.1% 16.8% 18.0% 14.6% 13.1% 12.0% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 4.6% 7.7% 11.7% 17.0% 21.8% 17.7% 10.1% 1.1%
Alexa Whitman 2.6% 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 5.3% 10.2% 21.2% 19.6% 18.5% 9.0% 2.2%
Kasym Qazi 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.8% 3.5% 6.3% 10.6% 19.8% 41.9% 12.4%
Raymond Shattuck 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 2.4% 5.1% 11.7% 78.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.