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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.63+3.01vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.35+2.51vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.23vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-1.15vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.70+0.68vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.82+2.34vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.77-3.42vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.90vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-0.03-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-1.39-0.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.51Drexel University1.350.1%1st Place
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3.23Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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2.85Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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5.68University of Virginia0.700.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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3.58Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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7.1SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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7.11Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rochester-1.390.0%1st Place
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10.56U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Fox | 11.9% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 10.5% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.7% | 22.2% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 27.2% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 17.4% | 27.1% | 25.9% | 6.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 18.1% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 21.8% | 17.7% | 10.1% | 1.1% |
| Alexa Whitman | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 10.2% | 21.2% | 19.6% | 18.5% | 9.0% | 2.2% |
| Kasym Qazi | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 41.9% | 12.4% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 11.7% | 78.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.