← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stewart Gurnell 20.6% 20.2% 18.9% 18.1% 11.8% 6.5% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Fox 13.2% 12.9% 17.7% 17.2% 15.3% 11.5% 8.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Toby Sullivan 9.5% 9.1% 12.0% 14.9% 16.0% 17.6% 12.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Montague 4.2% 6.3% 7.3% 7.5% 13.8% 19.7% 17.8% 14.3% 7.0% 1.9% 0.2%
Valerio Palamara 16.4% 17.2% 16.2% 16.0% 15.6% 9.0% 6.3% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Strein 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 5.3% 5.9% 10.3% 16.8% 21.9% 18.6% 12.2% 1.3%
Alexa Whitman 3.6% 4.0% 3.4% 4.5% 7.2% 12.9% 17.7% 21.0% 17.4% 7.6% 0.7%
Connor Mraz 28.9% 24.6% 18.2% 12.8% 8.2% 5.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Pearce Bragaw 0.9% 2.1% 1.8% 2.1% 3.7% 4.2% 9.1% 15.8% 30.0% 23.6% 6.7%
Kasym Qazi 0.6% 0.8% 1.1% 1.3% 2.4% 2.7% 5.8% 11.7% 18.4% 42.8% 12.4%
Raymond Shattuck 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.6% 0.6% 2.7% 4.7% 11.7% 78.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.