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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.17vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.63+1.96vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.35+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.70+1.79vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-1.34vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+1.26vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-0.03-0.15vs Predicted
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8Princeton University2.35-5.28vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.82-0.68vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-1.39-0.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.07-0.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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3.96Christopher Newport University1.630.1%1st Place
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4.66Drexel University1.350.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Virginia0.700.0%1st Place
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3.66Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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7.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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6.85Syracuse University-0.030.0%1st Place
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2.72Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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8.32University of Delaware-0.820.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rochester-1.390.0%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Military Academy-3.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.6% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 11.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Fox | 13.2% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Toby Sullivan | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Montague | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 19.7% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Valerio Palamara | 16.4% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 21.9% | 18.6% | 12.2% | 1.3% |
| Alexa Whitman | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 21.0% | 17.4% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| Connor Mraz | 28.9% | 24.6% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearce Bragaw | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 30.0% | 23.6% | 6.7% |
| Kasym Qazi | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 42.8% | 12.4% |
| Raymond Shattuck | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 11.7% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.