← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joshua Bendura 20.7% 21.1% 18.5% 12.4% 11.6% 9.0% 4.5% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Iain Shand 10.6% 9.9% 13.1% 13.4% 12.8% 13.4% 10.5% 8.8% 5.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 15.0% 16.2% 15.5% 15.1% 12.9% 10.5% 8.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Asher Green 21.7% 19.7% 15.2% 16.7% 12.0% 6.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 8.1% 6.8% 10.7% 9.1% 11.1% 12.2% 13.2% 14.7% 9.6% 4.4% 0.1%
Jessica Schaefer 4.2% 6.1% 6.1% 7.8% 8.7% 11.7% 14.7% 16.8% 14.9% 8.2% 0.8%
Joseph Bonacci 11.0% 10.7% 11.1% 12.5% 12.6% 13.3% 10.8% 9.3% 7.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Collin Ross 2.1% 1.7% 2.5% 2.3% 3.3% 7.5% 9.1% 13.7% 20.4% 30.1% 7.3%
Maxwell Penders 4.2% 6.1% 5.1% 7.3% 10.5% 9.8% 15.1% 15.7% 15.0% 8.8% 2.4%
Ethan Deutsch 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 4.4% 7.7% 10.6% 19.5% 33.7% 11.7%
Gabriel Kunze 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 2.5% 4.9% 10.6% 77.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.