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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.08+2.30vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32+2.81vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+0.94vs Predicted
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4Princeton University1.08-0.65vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.06+0.60vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.42+0.42vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21-2.11vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.42+0.22vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.43-2.47vs Predicted
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10University of Delaware-1.57-1.51vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.3Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.81Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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3.94Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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3.35Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.6William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.89Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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8.22Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Bendura | 20.7% | 21.1% | 18.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 10.6% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 15.0% | 16.2% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 21.7% | 19.7% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 8.1% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 8.2% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Collin Ross | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 20.4% | 30.1% | 7.3% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 8.8% | 2.4% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 33.7% | 11.7% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 10.6% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.