Race 2B

grant

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joshua Bendura 21.2% 19.2% 18.1% 14.2% 12.8% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Stefano Palamara 17.5% 17.4% 15.3% 14.3% 11.8% 11.4% 6.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Asher Green 20.0% 19.5% 16.4% 15.7% 12.4% 8.1% 4.6% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Iain Shand 9.1% 10.8% 11.0% 11.6% 14.7% 12.8% 13.4% 10.1% 4.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Sam Dutilly 6.9% 8.0% 9.4% 11.1% 9.6% 13.7% 12.6% 15.0% 9.4% 4.1% 0.2%
Maxwell Penders 4.4% 5.7% 6.0% 5.9% 10.4% 12.4% 14.7% 15.0% 14.4% 9.8% 1.3%
Jessica Schaefer 6.0% 5.4% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 13.2% 14.1% 16.6% 13.5% 7.1% 1.0%
Joseph Bonacci 10.3% 10.2% 11.5% 13.2% 12.4% 11.7% 12.8% 9.7% 6.1% 1.9% 0.2%
Collin Ross 2.1% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 4.1% 7.7% 12.7% 22.7% 30.0% 9.5%
Ethan Deutsch 2.0% 1.4% 2.1% 3.4% 3.6% 3.9% 8.0% 10.2% 20.6% 34.2% 10.6%
Gabriel Kunze 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 2.5% 5.5% 11.1% 76.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.