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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+3.77vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.85+3.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.58+4.33vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.06+3.39vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.83+4.15vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.93+4.36vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38-0.01vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.34-1.63vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.45+0.73vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.20-2.77vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.70-1.88vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-3.06vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University1.26-3.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara1.78-5.71vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-2.01vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.12-4.80vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.17-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Stanford University2.8916.2%1st Place
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5.84Yale University2.8512.0%1st Place
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7.33Boston College2.587.5%1st Place
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7.39Bowdoin College2.067.7%1st Place
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9.15Tufts University1.835.2%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.327.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Miami1.932.5%1st Place
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7.99College of Charleston2.387.3%1st Place
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7.37Dartmouth College2.346.2%1st Place
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10.73University of South Florida1.452.9%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University2.206.6%1st Place
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10.12Jacksonville University1.703.6%1st Place
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9.94Fordham University1.624.0%1st Place
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10.81Old Dominion University1.262.9%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Barbara1.784.1%1st Place
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13.99University of Wisconsin0.701.8%1st Place
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12.2North Carolina State University1.122.0%1st Place
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17.02University of Texas-1.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Busch | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Bonauto | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Chase Decker | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 1.8% |
| Diego Escobar | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Dolan | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Blake Goodwin | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 1.5% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 27.8% | 13.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 4.4% |
| Lucas Tenrreiro | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 11.2% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.