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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.81+2.85vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32+2.78vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.08+0.41vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.08-0.66vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.21+0.05vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.06-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.57+1.40vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-1.73vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.43-2.48vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.42-1.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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4.78Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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3.41Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.34Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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5.05Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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5.67William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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8.4University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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6.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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6.52University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.24Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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10.48U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 15.8% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Iain Shand | 11.2% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Asher Green | 19.9% | 21.1% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 21.2% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 19.3% | 34.0% | 10.1% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Collin Ross | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 22.2% | 30.2% | 8.2% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.2% | 11.0% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.