← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stefano Palamara 15.8% 15.4% 16.0% 15.3% 14.8% 10.8% 6.9% 3.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Iain Shand 11.2% 9.3% 13.7% 14.5% 10.5% 13.2% 11.9% 8.4% 6.3% 0.8% 0.2%
Asher Green 19.9% 21.1% 16.2% 14.2% 11.2% 8.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 21.2% 19.2% 17.8% 14.8% 12.3% 6.5% 5.1% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph Bonacci 10.2% 10.2% 11.0% 10.8% 12.3% 12.8% 13.0% 11.3% 5.9% 2.5% 0.0%
Sam Dutilly 6.1% 9.4% 8.3% 8.8% 11.7% 13.8% 14.3% 13.3% 9.2% 4.6% 0.5%
Ethan Deutsch 2.1% 2.7% 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% 4.7% 7.1% 12.1% 19.3% 34.0% 10.1%
Jessica Schaefer 6.0% 4.7% 7.3% 7.9% 10.3% 12.8% 12.4% 14.3% 15.3% 7.9% 1.1%
Maxwell Penders 4.9% 5.6% 4.7% 8.0% 8.9% 11.1% 13.8% 18.1% 14.1% 8.2% 2.6%
Collin Ross 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 3.3% 4.2% 5.0% 7.6% 12.6% 22.2% 30.2% 8.2%
Gabriel Kunze 0.6% 0.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.9% 2.4% 5.2% 11.0% 77.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.