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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.32+4.18vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.94vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08+0.52vs Predicted
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4William and Mary-0.06+2.16vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43+1.83vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-0.26+0.44vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.21-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.65-0.86vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-2.10vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.70-5.89vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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3.94Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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3.52Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.16William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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6.44Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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5.15Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Delaware-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.9SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.11Princeton University0.700.2%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iain Shand | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 17.3% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 19.8% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 2.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 0.9% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| David Berson | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 22.7% | 2.9% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 18.1% | 3.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 16.9% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 87.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.