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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.70+3.25vs Predicted
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2Hampton University0.81+1.93vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.32+2.23vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.21+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43+1.81vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-2.54vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-0.65-0.77vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.06-2.96vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.26-3.69vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.93Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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5.23Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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5.48Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Virginia-0.430.1%1st Place
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3.46Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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6.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Delaware-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.04William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.31Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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10.65U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ossian Kamal | 13.2% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Stefano Palamara | 18.3% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Iain Shand | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Penders | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 19.4% | 2.6% |
| Joshua Bendura | 21.5% | 20.8% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 2.4% |
| David Berson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 24.9% | 3.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 1.8% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 1.3% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 87.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.