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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University0.70+3.27vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.32+3.04vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.26+3.58vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.65+3.49vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.43+1.79vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.08-2.53vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.81-3.19vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.21-2.77vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-2.16vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.06-4.16vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.27Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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5.04Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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6.58Syracuse University-0.260.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Delaware-0.650.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Virginia-0.430.0%1st Place
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3.47Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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3.81Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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5.23Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.84William and Mary-0.060.1%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ossian Kamal | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Iain Shand | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 1.3% |
| David Berson | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 27.6% | 4.2% |
| Maxwell Penders | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 2.7% |
| Joshua Bendura | 22.0% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 19.0% | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 3.4% |
| Sam Dutilly | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 1.1% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 86.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.