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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-0.42+4.34vs Predicted
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2Princeton University1.08+1.00vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.08-0.10vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81-0.81vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.42+1.70vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.21-1.74vs Predicted
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7Drexel University0.32-2.89vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.57-1.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.34SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.0Princeton University1.080.2%1st Place
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2.9Christopher Newport University1.080.3%1st Place
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3.19Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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6.7Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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4.26Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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4.11Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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6.95University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Schaefer | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 22.6% | 23.4% | 9.2% | 1.3% |
| Asher Green | 21.1% | 24.1% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 25.5% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 5.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 21.7% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 24.7% | 33.1% | 9.3% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 10.5% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Iain Shand | 11.6% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 23.1% | 39.6% | 10.9% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 12.0% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.