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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University1.08+1.87vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.08+1.01vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.21+1.30vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.57+2.90vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.32-1.00vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.72vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.81-3.69vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-1.42-1.21vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.29-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Princeton University1.080.3%1st Place
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3.01Christopher Newport University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.3Washington College0.210.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Delaware-1.570.0%1st Place
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4.0Drexel University0.320.1%1st Place
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5.28SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
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3.31Hampton University0.810.2%1st Place
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6.79Syracuse University-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.55U. S. Military Academy-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Green | 26.8% | 20.2% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 22.7% | 22.7% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 9.8% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 16.1% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 12.7% | 22.4% | 38.1% | 10.1% |
| Iain Shand | 12.2% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 24.9% | 19.0% | 9.7% | 1.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 19.3% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Collin Ross | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 11.6% | 27.1% | 34.4% | 9.5% |
| Gabriel Kunze | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 79.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.