Race 1A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Hultquist 5.1% 6.8% 7.7% 8.5% 9.0% 9.4% 9.2% 12.9% 11.7% 10.9% 8.8%
Joseph Gallagher 8.9% 8.9% 9.6% 11.2% 8.5% 12.6% 9.1% 10.6% 8.0% 8.4% 4.2%
Joe Serpa 12.3% 12.8% 11.9% 12.6% 11.9% 10.4% 9.2% 7.3% 6.0% 3.4% 2.2%
Nikolas Chambers 5.5% 7.0% 7.7% 7.1% 8.7% 8.2% 11.1% 11.0% 10.4% 11.1% 12.2%
Max Zhalilo 7.7% 7.4% 7.7% 10.3% 8.4% 7.1% 11.9% 8.7% 10.3% 11.2% 9.3%
Reed Weston 27.0% 20.9% 17.5% 10.0% 8.6% 6.5% 4.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Greg Bittle 8.9% 8.1% 8.7% 9.5% 10.9% 9.5% 9.9% 8.4% 10.1% 8.3% 7.7%
Arden Carleton 7.2% 7.7% 8.8% 9.8% 8.9% 11.3% 9.1% 7.8% 9.6% 10.1% 9.7%
Luke Koerschner 5.5% 6.6% 6.7% 6.3% 7.9% 9.2% 10.1% 9.2% 11.7% 11.9% 14.9%
Justin Skene 8.4% 8.8% 8.7% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 9.9% 10.1% 9.6% 9.2% 7.3%
Brittany Shabino 3.5% 5.0% 5.0% 5.4% 7.8% 6.5% 6.4% 10.5% 11.4% 15.0% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.