Race 2A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arden Carleton 5.7% 6.5% 8.3% 9.4% 8.4% 9.2% 9.3% 12.9% 11.5% 9.9% 8.9%
Joseph Gallagher 8.9% 8.3% 10.7% 10.7% 10.0% 10.9% 9.3% 8.1% 10.2% 8.9% 4.0%
Joe Serpa 12.7% 12.4% 13.4% 11.3% 11.0% 10.6% 9.9% 8.1% 5.2% 3.8% 1.6%
Reed Weston 25.2% 20.4% 17.9% 11.4% 10.0% 6.1% 4.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.2%
Justin Skene 8.4% 8.4% 8.1% 9.8% 8.6% 9.6% 9.3% 10.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.3%
Greg Bittle 7.1% 9.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.8% 9.1% 11.6% 8.6% 9.4% 11.2% 7.8%
Max Zhalilo 8.4% 8.1% 7.8% 8.7% 9.6% 10.1% 9.3% 10.3% 10.0% 9.4% 8.3%
Luke Koerschner 6.4% 6.8% 5.5% 9.2% 9.5% 8.1% 9.7% 9.7% 9.0% 13.0% 13.1%
John Hultquist 6.4% 6.7% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 10.4% 9.7% 10.0% 11.3% 10.9% 11.1%
Brittany Shabino 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.8% 7.5% 8.9% 11.2% 13.6% 27.0%
Nikolas Chambers 6.5% 8.6% 8.4% 8.2% 8.5% 9.1% 9.5% 11.0% 11.6% 8.9% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.