Race 3A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Reed Weston 26.2% 19.9% 16.9% 13.1% 10.1% 6.4% 3.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2%
Greg Bittle 7.5% 7.8% 8.6% 8.4% 10.2% 9.1% 10.2% 10.5% 9.7% 10.8% 7.2%
Max Zhalilo 6.9% 6.2% 7.5% 8.1% 8.7% 9.3% 9.6% 11.6% 10.8% 10.9% 10.4%
Joe Serpa 11.9% 12.4% 13.2% 13.1% 11.7% 10.4% 8.5% 8.6% 5.5% 2.6% 2.1%
Joseph Gallagher 10.0% 9.6% 8.7% 10.3% 8.5% 10.7% 9.4% 9.4% 9.4% 8.3% 5.7%
Brittany Shabino 3.3% 3.4% 5.5% 5.7% 6.0% 6.8% 6.8% 9.6% 10.7% 15.1% 27.1%
John Hultquist 7.6% 7.6% 7.8% 9.0% 7.6% 10.8% 10.9% 10.1% 10.3% 9.3% 9.0%
Luke Koerschner 6.2% 6.6% 6.5% 7.8% 8.8% 9.5% 9.6% 9.8% 10.7% 12.4% 12.1%
Nikolas Chambers 5.6% 7.4% 7.0% 8.6% 8.2% 9.0% 10.7% 9.0% 12.3% 11.4% 10.8%
Justin Skene 8.0% 9.6% 9.9% 6.4% 11.6% 8.7% 9.7% 9.8% 9.3% 9.6% 7.4%
Arden Carleton 6.8% 9.5% 8.4% 9.5% 8.6% 9.3% 10.7% 9.6% 10.3% 9.3% 8.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.