Race 4A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Greg Bittle 6.1% 6.4% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 9.6% 10.8% 12.3% 10.8% 8.5% 8.2%
Reed Weston 28.6% 20.9% 14.1% 12.7% 9.4% 5.6% 5.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Joe Serpa 12.1% 12.6% 13.3% 12.2% 11.7% 9.6% 9.8% 7.6% 5.7% 3.9% 1.5%
Nikolas Chambers 5.6% 6.9% 8.2% 5.9% 7.2% 9.8% 11.2% 11.4% 10.7% 11.5% 11.6%
Joseph Gallagher 9.1% 9.5% 11.0% 8.8% 10.0% 10.2% 9.0% 10.6% 7.7% 8.0% 6.1%
Max Zhalilo 6.7% 8.3% 6.8% 9.2% 9.9% 9.2% 9.3% 10.0% 10.0% 11.7% 8.9%
Arden Carleton 8.1% 7.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.7% 9.9% 10.1% 8.6% 10.3% 9.0% 8.8%
John Hultquist 7.5% 7.4% 7.8% 9.9% 9.8% 9.3% 8.6% 9.1% 9.4% 11.5% 9.7%
Justin Skene 7.3% 7.7% 8.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 11.3% 9.0% 8.4%
Brittany Shabino 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 7.7% 8.9% 10.1% 15.3% 26.1%
Luke Koerschner 4.9% 8.6% 7.1% 8.3% 7.4% 10.4% 8.9% 9.2% 13.2% 11.3% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.