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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.50+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.36+5.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.88+4.24vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+4.15vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-0.02vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-1.95+4.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.09-1.79vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.36+1.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.84+1.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+0.66vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.07-6.58vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.42-2.72vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83-2.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.82-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Northeastern University0.5023.9%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Irvine-0.365.9%1st Place
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7.24University of California at Irvine-0.887.0%1st Place
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8.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.174.7%1st Place
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4.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2711.3%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Davis-1.952.1%1st Place
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5.21University of California at Berkeley-0.099.8%1st Place
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9.01University of California at Irvine-1.363.6%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Davis-1.842.1%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Los Angeles-1.991.9%1st Place
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4.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.0715.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Irvine-1.423.5%1st Place
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10.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.832.1%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Los Angeles-1.821.9%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Los Angeles-1.095.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Anderson | 23.9% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Mira Shupe | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Samuel Groom | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 17.2% |
| Ethan Lisle | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Nathan Baer | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 14.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 17.6% |
| Caden Domingo | 15.0% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
| Paul Munsell | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 14.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 15.2% |
| Liam Williams | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.