← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.05+5.53vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College3.00+8.37vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+4.20vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College4.05+2.77vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University4.08+1.56vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.37vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University4.17-0.67vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.84vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University4.01-2.24vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.34-0.65vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston4.00-4.12vs Predicted
-
12Washington College2.12+1.07vs Predicted
-
13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.76vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.48-1.87vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-4.45vs Predicted
-
16University of South Florida3.48-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.53Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.37SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
-
7.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
6.77Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
6.56Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
10.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
-
6.33Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
-
7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
6.76Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
-
6.88College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
-
13.07Washington College2.120.0%1st Place
-
7.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
12.13Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
-
10.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.0%1st Place
-
8.76University of South Florida3.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ted Green | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| William Haeger | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| John Wallace | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 9.7% |
| John Stokes | 11.4% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Devin Laviano | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 3.8% |
| Samuel Stokes | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Hadley Burnham | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 37.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 19.7% | 21.5% |
| Evan Siepert | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% |
| SEAN Ross | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.