Race 5A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Arden Carleton 5.5% 6.3% 8.7% 7.4% 9.9% 10.3% 10.2% 11.6% 11.7% 9.9% 8.5%
Luke Koerschner 5.9% 6.2% 7.2% 7.2% 8.7% 7.0% 9.5% 10.7% 11.6% 13.4% 12.6%
John Hultquist 6.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.6% 8.5% 9.8% 10.9% 9.9% 11.0% 11.1% 11.2%
Joe Serpa 12.0% 13.5% 11.1% 13.7% 12.5% 10.0% 9.2% 6.8% 5.4% 3.7% 2.1%
Reed Weston 27.5% 21.4% 16.0% 12.1% 8.2% 6.1% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5% 0.5%
Greg Bittle 7.1% 8.6% 8.2% 8.8% 9.5% 8.3% 12.8% 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 8.5%
Brittany Shabino 5.0% 4.2% 4.1% 6.8% 5.8% 7.9% 6.6% 9.8% 9.5% 14.6% 25.7%
Nikolas Chambers 7.0% 7.0% 7.8% 10.4% 8.9% 9.3% 9.8% 9.0% 10.4% 12.0% 8.4%
Joseph Gallagher 7.9% 10.2% 8.7% 9.3% 11.0% 10.3% 8.4% 10.3% 10.1% 7.7% 6.1%
Max Zhalilo 7.2% 8.0% 10.5% 7.7% 7.3% 10.2% 9.1% 10.0% 10.6% 9.9% 9.5%
Lukas Diehm 8.1% 8.1% 11.0% 9.0% 9.7% 10.8% 9.3% 10.5% 9.4% 7.2% 6.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.