Race 6A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joe Serpa 11.2% 14.2% 12.9% 11.3% 12.9% 10.5% 10.6% 7.7% 4.4% 2.8% 1.5%
Reed Weston 28.0% 21.0% 15.3% 12.0% 9.8% 5.9% 4.2% 2.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Max Zhalilo 6.4% 6.3% 8.2% 7.7% 8.5% 10.0% 9.8% 10.7% 11.6% 10.9% 9.9%
Brittany Shabino 3.0% 4.7% 2.9% 5.4% 6.3% 5.4% 6.3% 10.9% 11.6% 15.5% 28.0%
Greg Bittle 7.9% 7.0% 10.0% 8.1% 8.6% 9.9% 10.3% 11.5% 8.9% 8.8% 9.0%
Nikolas Chambers 6.3% 7.7% 7.4% 7.9% 8.8% 9.4% 9.3% 11.1% 10.2% 12.3% 9.6%
Joseph Gallagher 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 11.1% 10.5% 10.9% 10.3% 8.4% 7.7% 7.8% 4.6%
Lukas Diehm 8.1% 7.7% 9.8% 9.8% 10.5% 10.1% 10.2% 7.9% 10.1% 8.7% 7.1%
Luke Koerschner 5.6% 5.8% 6.3% 7.7% 7.6% 9.8% 8.7% 10.2% 11.3% 13.8% 13.2%
John Hultquist 7.6% 7.3% 8.8% 8.3% 8.2% 9.5% 9.4% 10.1% 11.6% 9.9% 9.3%
Arden Carleton 7.0% 8.9% 8.0% 10.7% 8.3% 8.6% 10.9% 9.5% 11.1% 9.2% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.