Race 7A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Justin Skene 6.0% 8.3% 7.7% 8.2% 11.1% 9.5% 9.8% 12.9% 11.9% 9.1% 5.5%
Luke Koerschner 6.3% 5.6% 6.3% 7.9% 9.2% 7.8% 9.5% 9.7% 12.0% 12.9% 12.8%
Greg Bittle 7.9% 5.6% 9.0% 7.4% 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 11.8% 10.6% 9.6% 9.3%
Reed Weston 25.0% 21.3% 15.9% 13.6% 8.4% 6.0% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Brittany Shabino 4.0% 5.3% 4.2% 4.7% 6.3% 5.4% 10.3% 8.2% 10.0% 13.6% 28.0%
John Hultquist 6.7% 6.5% 8.3% 8.1% 8.4% 10.6% 8.7% 10.4% 10.8% 10.8% 10.7%
Joe Serpa 14.7% 14.0% 15.5% 10.5% 11.2% 10.4% 8.4% 6.2% 4.3% 3.0% 1.8%
Arden Carleton 7.6% 6.8% 7.5% 11.1% 9.4% 10.0% 9.1% 11.0% 8.3% 11.3% 7.9%
Max Zhalilo 5.7% 7.7% 7.4% 7.9% 9.8% 10.7% 9.0% 9.4% 11.8% 10.6% 10.0%
Nikolas Chambers 6.9% 8.6% 7.6% 9.3% 7.9% 9.3% 9.7% 8.7% 10.0% 12.1% 9.9%
Joseph Gallagher 9.2% 10.3% 10.6% 11.3% 8.9% 10.5% 11.1% 8.9% 8.9% 6.4% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.