Race 8A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Justin Skene 6.6% 7.0% 8.1% 9.9% 9.0% 9.5% 11.5% 11.6% 11.4% 8.5% 6.9%
Joe Serpa 13.7% 13.2% 14.6% 12.4% 11.3% 9.0% 9.3% 7.2% 5.1% 3.2% 1.0%
Reed Weston 24.3% 21.9% 16.4% 12.2% 10.0% 6.4% 4.1% 2.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Nikolas Chambers 5.5% 7.5% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 9.8% 11.6% 11.4% 10.7% 11.2% 12.0%
Arden Carleton 7.6% 7.4% 7.3% 9.7% 8.7% 9.1% 9.4% 9.6% 11.0% 10.1% 10.1%
Luke Koerschner 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 7.1% 7.7% 9.3% 9.7% 10.2% 11.2% 13.3% 12.1%
John Hultquist 7.9% 7.5% 7.6% 8.5% 9.1% 11.2% 10.4% 8.8% 10.0% 9.5% 9.5%
Joseph Gallagher 10.3% 7.7% 10.9% 12.0% 10.1% 10.1% 8.0% 8.7% 8.2% 8.4% 5.6%
Max Zhalilo 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 8.9% 9.5% 9.4% 9.3% 9.4% 12.4% 10.6% 9.7%
Brittany Shabino 4.3% 4.7% 4.9% 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 6.9% 9.5% 9.0% 15.8% 25.9%
Greg Bittle 7.4% 9.6% 9.4% 8.5% 9.9% 8.9% 9.8% 10.9% 9.4% 9.0% 7.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.