Race 9A

mcsa-open-fleet-racing

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Reed Weston 26.0% 20.2% 15.8% 13.5% 10.6% 7.0% 3.4% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.3%
Arden Carleton 6.9% 7.0% 7.9% 8.5% 9.6% 9.2% 10.8% 9.6% 11.4% 10.3% 8.8%
Joe Serpa 11.3% 13.0% 15.2% 10.9% 10.2% 9.9% 10.0% 8.5% 5.6% 3.9% 1.5%
Joseph Gallagher 7.5% 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 11.1% 10.9% 10.9% 9.4% 10.1% 6.7% 7.1%
Nikolas Chambers 7.7% 7.4% 7.2% 7.6% 8.9% 8.5% 10.5% 10.3% 8.7% 12.3% 10.9%
Lukas Diehm 7.7% 8.1% 9.0% 9.1% 9.6% 9.7% 9.9% 10.2% 10.1% 9.1% 7.5%
Max Zhalilo 8.0% 8.5% 7.6% 9.1% 9.5% 8.8% 10.3% 11.0% 10.5% 8.6% 8.1%
Greg Bittle 8.7% 7.4% 8.7% 10.8% 9.3% 10.1% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 10.9% 7.5%
Luke Koerschner 5.2% 6.3% 6.5% 7.6% 7.2% 9.1% 9.6% 8.9% 12.2% 14.0% 13.4%
Brittany Shabino 4.3% 4.6% 4.9% 5.7% 5.2% 7.5% 6.5% 10.9% 9.8% 14.1% 26.5%
John Hultquist 6.7% 8.4% 8.6% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3% 9.9% 10.0% 11.3% 10.0% 8.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.