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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.39+4.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.10+4.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+2.79vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.31+2.08vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+1.45vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.76+1.90vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.78+0.44vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.12-1.40vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.09-2.22vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.53-4.56vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-3.12vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.60-3.75vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.46-0.23vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.34-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.67Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.08Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.9Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.44Fordham University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.090.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston College2.530.1%1st Place
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7.88Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.77Columbia University-0.460.0%1st Place
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11.48Harvard University0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Sih | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Stokke | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Styron | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 2.0% |
| Beckett Kumler | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Will Priebe | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Elliott | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 11.1% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 2.1% |
| Porter Bell | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 2.8% |
| Chase O'Malley | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 15.4% | 64.2% |
| Matthew Cabot | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 32.8% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.