Race 3A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Oliver Stokke 10.2% 12.0% 10.2% 9.7% 9.6% 8.2% 9.7% 7.3% 6.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.2% 1.4% 0.4%
Tyler Nash 9.1% 9.1% 9.2% 7.4% 7.7% 8.3% 7.9% 8.8% 9.4% 8.8% 5.0% 5.3% 3.5% 0.5%
Nathan Sih 11.4% 10.3% 8.7% 10.8% 9.2% 8.4% 8.2% 8.5% 7.3% 7.4% 4.7% 3.4% 1.1% 0.6%
Thomas Styron 8.6% 9.6% 9.9% 10.0% 7.7% 10.2% 8.3% 8.3% 7.8% 6.9% 6.6% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4%
Michael Kirkman 10.3% 11.2% 12.4% 11.5% 9.9% 7.8% 8.4% 7.4% 7.4% 4.7% 5.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Beckett Kumler 5.9% 4.8% 6.4% 5.9% 5.3% 8.7% 7.3% 7.3% 9.0% 8.8% 9.8% 10.6% 8.8% 1.4%
Matthew Elliott 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 7.6% 9.1% 7.7% 7.9% 10.3% 6.8% 6.8% 6.3% 7.6% 3.0% 0.1%
Jed Bell 9.6% 9.4% 9.8% 8.0% 9.1% 7.8% 7.5% 8.3% 7.4% 6.8% 6.8% 5.8% 3.2% 0.5%
Will Priebe 8.2% 7.7% 6.2% 8.1% 8.5% 9.4% 10.5% 7.2% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 5.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.4% 4.7% 5.4% 6.3% 7.8% 7.5% 6.3% 7.7% 8.9% 9.8% 10.2% 11.0% 6.9% 2.1%
Nils Tullberg 6.0% 5.2% 3.8% 7.2% 7.2% 6.6% 8.0% 8.1% 7.2% 9.5% 11.2% 10.8% 7.8% 1.4%
Chase O'Malley 0.2% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 1.2% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 5.0% 17.8% 63.6%
Matthew Cabot 1.7% 1.2% 2.1% 1.3% 2.1% 2.1% 1.9% 3.2% 3.1% 4.9% 6.5% 11.0% 32.5% 26.4%
Porter Bell 4.6% 4.8% 6.3% 5.4% 6.1% 6.1% 7.0% 6.4% 9.3% 10.0% 11.9% 11.3% 8.9% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.