Race 4A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Oliver Stokke 10.2% 10.8% 11.3% 10.6% 8.9% 8.5% 8.3% 7.5% 6.7% 5.2% 5.5% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Nathan Sih 11.7% 10.6% 11.7% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 8.3% 8.2% 7.1% 4.8% 4.3% 3.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Tyler Nash 8.2% 8.6% 6.8% 8.1% 7.0% 9.0% 9.0% 8.5% 8.6% 7.6% 8.4% 6.5% 3.1% 0.6%
Matthew Elliott 6.6% 8.4% 8.0% 8.4% 6.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 6.1% 9.3% 7.4% 7.4% 3.6% 0.6%
Jed Bell 7.6% 7.8% 9.9% 9.4% 10.8% 6.6% 7.7% 8.8% 7.5% 7.0% 9.3% 5.1% 1.9% 0.6%
Beckett Kumler 5.7% 5.4% 5.1% 6.6% 5.8% 7.2% 8.7% 7.8% 8.4% 9.0% 9.8% 11.2% 7.9% 1.4%
Michael Kirkman 13.1% 13.8% 10.8% 10.2% 11.0% 8.5% 8.1% 5.8% 6.9% 5.9% 2.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Porter Bell 5.5% 4.8% 5.9% 4.2% 7.4% 5.7% 6.4% 6.8% 7.9% 11.1% 10.0% 11.5% 10.0% 2.8%
Chase O'Malley 0.4% 1.2% 0.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 0.6% 2.0% 2.2% 2.6% 4.5% 16.9% 65.2%
Will Priebe 8.2% 6.2% 7.0% 11.0% 8.3% 8.2% 7.6% 9.6% 8.8% 8.4% 6.8% 6.4% 3.0% 0.5%
Thomas Styron 10.5% 8.4% 9.0% 8.9% 10.0% 9.5% 7.9% 7.6% 8.4% 6.6% 5.8% 5.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Matthew Cabot 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.8% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 4.4% 7.4% 12.0% 33.6% 24.5%
Nils Tullberg 5.8% 6.2% 5.6% 5.2% 6.5% 7.6% 7.4% 9.1% 8.8% 9.2% 9.6% 10.2% 7.4% 1.4%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.3% 6.5% 6.7% 5.7% 6.3% 8.5% 6.8% 7.1% 9.5% 9.3% 10.9% 9.4% 6.6% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.