Race 5A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tyler Nash 8.0% 8.6% 8.9% 8.8% 8.0% 6.6% 9.5% 9.0% 9.0% 7.2% 5.7% 5.5% 4.1% 1.1%
Michael Kirkman 13.6% 12.6% 10.7% 11.2% 8.8% 9.1% 9.3% 7.7% 6.7% 3.7% 2.8% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Beckett Kumler 6.0% 5.4% 6.5% 7.6% 5.4% 5.6% 7.8% 7.9% 8.8% 10.5% 9.5% 10.4% 7.0% 1.6%
Nils Tullberg 4.4% 6.4% 6.4% 6.4% 7.0% 6.4% 6.7% 8.8% 7.7% 9.3% 10.1% 11.5% 7.1% 1.8%
Nathan Sih 9.3% 10.2% 9.6% 10.7% 9.0% 9.5% 8.4% 7.6% 7.1% 6.4% 6.1% 4.0% 1.7% 0.4%
Oliver Stokke 10.2% 9.6% 9.5% 10.5% 9.9% 8.9% 8.2% 8.0% 7.6% 6.1% 5.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.3%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.9% 7.1% 6.8% 6.5% 7.2% 6.8% 6.9% 6.9% 9.0% 9.4% 10.4% 10.0% 5.0% 2.1%
Jed Bell 10.2% 8.7% 10.1% 8.0% 7.5% 9.7% 8.0% 8.0% 6.6% 7.1% 6.9% 5.9% 2.7% 0.6%
Matthew Elliott 8.4% 5.6% 8.5% 7.6% 8.8% 8.4% 8.3% 9.6% 8.1% 9.5% 7.1% 6.0% 3.4% 0.7%
Will Priebe 7.5% 7.2% 7.5% 9.4% 7.7% 9.9% 8.3% 7.4% 8.2% 8.9% 7.7% 6.7% 2.9% 0.7%
Porter Bell 4.8% 5.2% 4.9% 4.0% 6.2% 7.6% 5.9% 7.1% 9.2% 8.8% 11.4% 12.2% 9.7% 3.0%
Matthew Cabot 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 3.1% 4.8% 7.7% 12.1% 32.6% 25.8%
Thomas Styron 10.1% 11.0% 8.5% 7.8% 11.6% 8.5% 8.7% 8.5% 6.8% 6.4% 6.0% 3.1% 2.7% 0.3%
Chase O'Malley 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 0.6% 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 1.9% 3.4% 6.3% 17.7% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.