Race 1A

maisa-womens

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stephanie Roble 13.0% 13.9% 14.9% 14.0% 14.8% 12.6% 8.9% 5.3% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sydney Bolger 31.8% 20.3% 19.1% 13.9% 6.7% 4.9% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Meredith Carroll 3.5% 3.1% 3.7% 4.3% 5.8% 8.1% 11.0% 13.2% 18.7% 25.1% 3.5%
Caroline Patten 10.7% 12.4% 11.0% 14.8% 15.7% 11.8% 10.8% 6.9% 4.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 5.1% 7.9% 8.8% 7.6% 11.2% 11.6% 13.5% 14.7% 10.6% 8.3% 0.7%
Amanda Johnson 4.6% 7.3% 6.4% 8.3% 10.3% 11.2% 14.4% 14.3% 13.2% 9.7% 0.3%
Megan Magill 16.1% 16.8% 15.0% 14.4% 12.5% 10.4% 6.9% 4.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 9.6% 11.5% 12.2% 14.2% 11.7% 12.7% 10.4% 9.4% 6.2% 2.0% 0.1%
Ryann Hall 2.5% 3.7% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 8.3% 10.8% 13.5% 20.7% 22.2% 4.9%
Melissa Bermudez 2.7% 2.9% 4.6% 4.2% 5.7% 8.0% 10.0% 15.3% 17.5% 24.8% 4.3%
Jessie Shifalo 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 2.0% 3.3% 5.8% 86.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.