Race 11A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Kirkman 11.4% 12.0% 12.1% 10.3% 10.1% 9.5% 7.9% 6.0% 6.7% 4.8% 4.6% 2.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Matthew Elliott 8.4% 8.7% 7.9% 8.4% 8.4% 7.5% 7.4% 9.4% 8.5% 8.5% 8.7% 4.2% 3.5% 0.5%
Will Priebe 7.9% 8.2% 8.2% 8.1% 6.5% 9.0% 8.8% 8.5% 7.6% 8.4% 8.9% 7.0% 2.5% 0.4%
Jed Bell 8.0% 8.4% 8.9% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.9% 7.1% 6.1% 8.4% 7.8% 5.3% 3.0% 0.3%
Tyler Nash 6.3% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 8.7% 7.8% 9.6% 8.1% 8.6% 6.9% 8.8% 7.3% 3.4% 1.1%
Mason Stang 11.9% 11.8% 11.8% 11.5% 9.5% 9.2% 7.2% 7.7% 6.9% 4.8% 3.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 11.0% 11.8% 11.0% 9.3% 8.5% 9.2% 9.1% 6.6% 8.0% 6.0% 4.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.4%
Nils Tullberg 5.8% 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 7.3% 6.1% 5.6% 8.1% 9.4% 9.1% 9.9% 9.9% 8.7% 2.0%
Beckett Kumler 6.5% 4.1% 5.3% 5.1% 7.2% 7.2% 8.8% 8.0% 9.2% 9.2% 9.7% 11.6% 6.9% 1.2%
Matthew Cabot 1.3% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 3.0% 3.9% 5.2% 7.4% 11.6% 31.0% 27.8%
Nathan Sih 11.2% 8.1% 9.2% 12.2% 8.3% 9.4% 9.3% 6.8% 7.6% 6.4% 4.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.3%
Porter Bell 4.3% 5.0% 4.1% 5.6% 6.3% 6.7% 6.1% 9.5% 7.9% 10.2% 8.6% 12.1% 10.9% 2.7%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.6% 6.2% 5.2% 5.4% 8.0% 6.4% 7.3% 9.9% 8.2% 9.1% 9.7% 10.6% 6.9% 1.5%
Chase O'Malley 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 3.0% 2.7% 6.6% 17.9% 61.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.