Race 12A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Michael Kirkman 12.7% 11.4% 11.5% 10.3% 8.8% 11.3% 7.8% 6.2% 6.1% 4.8% 4.9% 2.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Porter Bell 4.4% 5.6% 6.3% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 7.1% 7.2% 7.6% 9.2% 11.7% 13.8% 7.3% 2.9%
Beckett Kumler 5.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.5% 5.5% 5.5% 8.1% 7.8% 8.7% 10.3% 10.2% 10.7% 6.4% 1.9%
Jed Bell 7.3% 10.6% 8.3% 9.0% 7.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.2% 8.4% 6.9% 7.9% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6%
Matthew Cabot 1.4% 0.3% 2.4% 1.2% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 1.8% 4.2% 4.3% 6.6% 10.7% 33.5% 26.3%
Will Priebe 8.6% 5.9% 7.4% 8.7% 8.1% 7.9% 8.9% 9.5% 7.0% 8.8% 7.9% 6.3% 4.1% 0.9%
Nathan Sih 11.3% 10.8% 12.3% 8.4% 8.7% 9.3% 7.9% 9.1% 6.9% 6.8% 3.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.3%
Mason Stang 13.2% 14.1% 10.8% 10.4% 10.7% 8.7% 5.9% 7.5% 6.8% 5.5% 3.2% 2.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Matthew Elliott 7.8% 5.8% 6.6% 9.0% 8.7% 6.7% 10.6% 8.6% 9.6% 7.1% 7.7% 7.7% 3.8% 0.3%
Oliver Stokke 9.7% 8.7% 10.4% 9.8% 10.3% 10.0% 7.0% 7.8% 7.1% 7.5% 6.1% 3.7% 1.8% 0.1%
Nils Tullberg 5.0% 6.1% 4.0% 5.6% 7.6% 7.4% 7.5% 6.3% 9.0% 9.9% 10.9% 11.7% 7.0% 2.0%
Patrick Mulcahy 5.1% 5.4% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 6.4% 8.6% 9.0% 9.3% 8.2% 8.9% 10.7% 8.0% 1.9%
Tyler Nash 7.5% 8.4% 7.4% 8.9% 8.7% 8.4% 8.3% 9.3% 7.1% 8.6% 7.7% 5.3% 4.1% 0.3%
Chase O'Malley 0.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 6.1% 17.9% 62.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.