Race 2B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Peter Lobaugh 13.0% 13.9% 13.3% 11.4% 10.7% 9.6% 7.8% 7.5% 5.9% 3.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Mateo Farina 17.7% 15.5% 14.1% 10.5% 11.4% 9.7% 7.9% 4.8% 3.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 4.8% 4.4% 4.3% 6.1% 5.2% 6.9% 6.5% 9.3% 8.4% 10.7% 14.2% 10.8% 7.7% 0.7%
Peter Joslin 13.9% 14.9% 14.3% 12.9% 10.5% 7.9% 8.6% 6.4% 5.3% 2.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 4.6% 5.9% 6.3% 8.1% 7.1% 8.2% 8.9% 10.5% 9.6% 9.5% 9.9% 7.3% 3.5% 0.6%
Jack Roman 8.4% 6.6% 7.6% 9.6% 10.2% 9.8% 9.6% 8.3% 10.2% 8.0% 7.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Emil Tullberg 2.4% 2.2% 2.8% 2.6% 3.8% 4.4% 5.3% 5.1% 7.3% 8.3% 11.8% 18.2% 19.7% 6.1%
Olin Guck 3.4% 4.4% 4.8% 4.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.7% 7.3% 9.4% 12.3% 11.5% 13.4% 9.8% 2.8%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.4% 1.9% 1.3% 1.3% 0.7% 2.5% 2.5% 3.3% 4.1% 6.4% 7.5% 16.5% 36.2% 14.4%
Joshua Dillon 3.8% 4.1% 4.5% 4.2% 6.5% 6.6% 9.1% 8.4% 10.3% 10.5% 13.5% 11.6% 5.7% 1.2%
Hunter Zonnenberg 11.8% 10.2% 11.7% 10.8% 9.7% 9.5% 9.2% 8.7% 7.5% 5.2% 3.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 8.1% 7.9% 9.0% 11.1% 10.4% 10.9% 7.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.2% 5.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 6.5% 7.8% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 8.3% 9.9% 10.5% 9.0% 10.7% 7.5% 5.7% 3.1% 0.3%
Alison Keenan 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 1.3% 0.7% 2.5% 2.7% 6.1% 10.5% 73.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.