Race 2A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Stephanie Roble 12.5% 15.0% 15.4% 15.2% 12.4% 13.6% 7.9% 4.9% 2.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Megan Magill 16.0% 14.9% 14.9% 14.0% 13.8% 11.5% 7.4% 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 9.0% 9.3% 10.6% 12.6% 13.1% 12.9% 12.2% 10.4% 7.5% 2.2% 0.2%
Ryann Hall 1.8% 3.5% 3.7% 5.1% 5.5% 6.4% 9.2% 14.6% 20.3% 25.5% 4.4%
Marissa Lihan 5.8% 6.5% 8.6% 9.8% 10.9% 10.9% 13.7% 12.8% 11.6% 8.7% 0.7%
Sydney Bolger 29.9% 24.6% 16.5% 10.7% 8.8% 5.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Carroll 4.3% 3.8% 3.9% 5.2% 6.8% 10.3% 10.9% 14.7% 18.1% 19.1% 2.9%
Caroline Patten 11.7% 13.4% 15.6% 14.7% 12.4% 11.0% 9.7% 5.9% 4.1% 1.5% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 5.7% 6.2% 6.1% 8.0% 10.7% 11.0% 14.4% 13.9% 13.8% 8.8% 1.4%
Melissa Bermudez 2.8% 2.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.5% 6.8% 10.9% 14.9% 16.4% 26.9% 4.1%
Jessie Shifalo 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 6.4% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.