Race 3B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Joshua Dillon 4.3% 4.5% 4.4% 5.7% 7.3% 5.8% 8.7% 7.9% 8.6% 12.1% 13.8% 8.6% 6.5% 1.8%
Max Katz-Christy 6.0% 7.4% 6.6% 7.6% 9.1% 7.7% 7.7% 9.4% 11.5% 10.4% 7.4% 6.0% 3.1% 0.1%
Hunter Zonnenberg 11.8% 11.8% 11.3% 9.4% 10.8% 10.2% 9.8% 8.5% 6.1% 5.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Peter Joslin 14.5% 15.2% 13.7% 12.8% 11.1% 8.9% 7.7% 6.3% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 6.6% 9.3% 9.1% 9.5% 10.5% 10.4% 9.7% 7.8% 8.2% 8.1% 6.2% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Jack Roman 8.5% 6.4% 8.4% 9.8% 8.8% 9.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 7.2% 6.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.2%
Olin Guck 3.6% 3.8% 5.2% 5.9% 6.2% 4.7% 4.9% 8.1% 9.6% 10.8% 13.3% 14.0% 8.1% 1.8%
Charlotte Costikyan 7.1% 7.1% 6.4% 7.4% 6.1% 8.5% 9.4% 9.9% 9.4% 9.7% 8.5% 6.0% 3.8% 0.7%
Nathan Selian 5.2% 3.7% 4.3% 4.2% 5.6% 7.1% 7.7% 9.2% 9.3% 12.6% 12.4% 11.2% 6.4% 1.1%
Emil Tullberg 2.3% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 7.1% 7.7% 12.9% 19.3% 21.2% 7.6%
Mateo Farina 16.3% 14.2% 13.6% 12.4% 9.5% 9.7% 8.3% 6.0% 4.1% 3.1% 1.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Lobaugh 11.9% 13.5% 13.5% 11.3% 10.5% 10.0% 9.0% 7.4% 4.6% 4.4% 2.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 4.0% 5.7% 4.2% 7.4% 18.6% 33.6% 14.6%
Alison Keenan 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.9% 2.4% 5.3% 13.3% 71.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.