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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.36+4.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.69+2.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University0.10+8.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.51+0.96vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.68+2.28vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.37+2.27vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.62+2.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.08-1.97vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.36-0.74vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.67-5.50vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.01-4.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.73-4.90vs Predicted
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131.15-4.35vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-1.24-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.23Yale University2.690.2%1st Place
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11.15Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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4.96Fordham University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.680.0%1st Place
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8.27Northeastern University1.370.0%1st Place
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9.86Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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6.03Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.26Boston University1.360.1%1st Place
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4.5Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.1Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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8.651.150.0%1st Place
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13.21Columbia University-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mateo Farina | 18.2% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 35.0% | 15.8% |
| Peter Lobaugh | 11.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Max Katz-Christy | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Dillon | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 18.5% | 18.4% | 6.4% |
| Bryan Trammell | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 1.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 14.5% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 8.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Olin Guck | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 8.8% | 1.8% |
| Alison Keenan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 13.3% | 71.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.