Race 6B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mateo Farina 16.1% 14.9% 14.8% 12.2% 10.8% 9.3% 6.4% 6.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 3.9% 5.7% 5.3% 6.1% 6.4% 6.5% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 12.8% 10.6% 9.6% 6.2% 0.7%
Jack Roman 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 9.6% 8.9% 8.8% 9.1% 8.9% 10.2% 8.4% 6.0% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3%
Peter Lobaugh 12.8% 12.7% 11.7% 12.2% 11.1% 9.4% 8.5% 8.2% 6.0% 3.7% 2.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 4.5% 5.4% 7.4% 6.5% 7.7% 8.0% 10.3% 9.3% 9.8% 9.4% 11.1% 7.0% 3.0% 0.6%
Emil Tullberg 1.3% 3.0% 1.9% 2.4% 2.6% 4.1% 3.6% 4.7% 7.3% 8.7% 14.4% 19.1% 19.8% 7.1%
Peter Joslin 18.0% 14.3% 12.8% 11.7% 12.3% 10.2% 7.5% 5.4% 3.9% 1.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.1%
Olin Guck 3.5% 5.1% 3.5% 5.0% 4.2% 6.2% 6.1% 8.6% 7.6% 10.9% 13.9% 12.0% 11.0% 2.4%
Joshua Dillon 4.9% 3.9% 4.0% 4.5% 5.2% 6.6% 8.4% 10.4% 10.3% 11.9% 10.4% 11.5% 7.0% 1.0%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 1.7% 3.3% 4.6% 6.1% 8.3% 17.5% 34.0% 15.7%
Bryan Trammell 8.1% 8.7% 8.5% 9.8% 9.5% 10.5% 10.0% 8.5% 9.0% 6.4% 6.0% 3.6% 1.3% 0.1%
Hunter Zonnenberg 10.3% 10.0% 12.9% 10.9% 12.4% 8.9% 9.7% 8.1% 5.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Charlotte Costikyan 6.3% 7.1% 6.4% 7.2% 7.3% 9.1% 9.6% 10.0% 9.9% 9.7% 8.6% 5.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Alison Keenan 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.4% 1.3% 2.4% 2.5% 6.0% 12.8% 71.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.