Race 11B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mateo Farina 16.8% 15.8% 12.2% 13.3% 11.7% 7.5% 7.0% 6.4% 4.0% 2.6% 1.7% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Roman 8.1% 9.4% 10.0% 8.8% 8.9% 9.8% 10.4% 9.4% 8.5% 8.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2%
Bryan Trammell 8.9% 9.2% 9.0% 9.4% 9.5% 8.8% 9.7% 8.7% 9.2% 8.2% 5.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Peter Joslin 15.6% 15.8% 11.7% 12.6% 10.8% 10.2% 7.8% 5.3% 4.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 4.5% 5.1% 7.3% 8.5% 6.7% 8.6% 7.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.8% 10.6% 7.4% 3.1% 0.9%
Hunter Zonnenberg 12.1% 8.9% 11.8% 10.6% 11.1% 9.4% 9.5% 8.4% 6.7% 5.5% 3.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Connor Macken 6.7% 7.7% 6.8% 5.9% 7.4% 9.3% 10.2% 9.1% 9.6% 9.8% 7.0% 7.9% 2.4% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 2.1% 3.1% 2.6% 2.4% 3.4% 4.1% 4.2% 5.2% 6.5% 7.5% 11.6% 18.2% 21.8% 7.3%
Nathan Selian 4.7% 3.7% 4.8% 3.9% 5.5% 6.7% 8.2% 8.5% 11.6% 9.9% 14.4% 11.4% 4.8% 1.9%
Joshua Dillon 4.1% 3.9% 4.6% 4.9% 6.0% 7.8% 7.2% 9.1% 9.9% 11.7% 12.1% 12.3% 5.6% 0.8%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 0.8% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.9% 2.1% 4.2% 3.5% 6.5% 9.1% 14.3% 36.6% 15.2%
Peter Lobaugh 12.1% 12.0% 13.0% 13.0% 11.3% 9.5% 8.5% 7.4% 5.8% 3.1% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Alison Keenan 0.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 4.6% 13.3% 72.0%
Olin Guck 3.0% 3.3% 4.3% 5.1% 6.0% 5.6% 6.9% 7.8% 9.0% 12.0% 12.3% 13.9% 9.4% 1.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.