Race 12B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Nathan Selian 4.3% 4.1% 4.3% 6.3% 6.6% 6.4% 7.8% 8.4% 10.2% 12.6% 11.0% 9.7% 6.6% 1.7%
Bryan Trammell 9.9% 9.2% 8.9% 8.9% 11.0% 9.5% 9.8% 9.3% 8.4% 6.0% 4.6% 3.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Mateo Farina 15.5% 15.9% 13.6% 13.1% 9.0% 9.5% 8.6% 6.0% 3.9% 2.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Olin Guck 2.8% 3.0% 4.3% 4.4% 5.2% 5.8% 7.6% 8.0% 9.8% 10.1% 12.5% 13.5% 10.6% 2.4%
Connor Macken 4.7% 5.8% 7.0% 7.1% 8.3% 8.5% 8.0% 10.4% 9.8% 8.4% 9.9% 7.9% 3.6% 0.6%
Max Katz-Christy 6.2% 5.1% 6.1% 5.9% 7.8% 8.8% 9.4% 10.3% 9.8% 9.9% 8.8% 8.4% 2.9% 0.6%
Peter Joslin 17.0% 16.9% 14.4% 10.3% 10.6% 9.8% 7.6% 6.4% 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Hunter Zonnenberg 11.3% 12.5% 11.4% 11.5% 9.7% 9.3% 8.3% 7.0% 7.4% 6.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 2.7% 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 2.9% 3.8% 5.1% 6.3% 10.2% 13.1% 19.3% 20.9% 6.3%
Peter Lobaugh 11.9% 13.0% 12.9% 13.2% 11.1% 8.9% 8.9% 7.5% 5.2% 3.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Roman 8.4% 6.9% 9.0% 9.9% 8.3% 9.9% 8.7% 9.5% 9.6% 7.7% 7.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Joshua Dillon 3.3% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 6.3% 8.2% 7.1% 8.8% 10.1% 11.8% 12.8% 9.7% 6.1% 1.5%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.7% 1.1% 1.4% 1.6% 2.0% 1.7% 3.5% 2.8% 5.3% 6.0% 8.7% 16.8% 33.0% 14.4%
Alison Keenan 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 1.2% 2.3% 2.6% 4.5% 13.1% 72.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.