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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University0.50+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.09+2.03vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine-0.36+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.07-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+1.23vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.17+0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-1.95+0.57vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.84-0.47vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83-1.52vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.27-5.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Northeastern University0.5029.1%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Berkeley-0.0913.5%1st Place
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5.63University of California at Irvine-0.366.8%1st Place
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3.58University of California at Santa Cruz0.0718.1%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Los Angeles-1.095.4%1st Place
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6.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.175.2%1st Place
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7.57University of California at Davis-1.953.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Davis-1.842.1%1st Place
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7.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.832.3%1st Place
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4.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.2714.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Anderson | 29.1% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 13.5% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Nikita Swatek | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Caden Domingo | 18.1% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Liam Williams | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 9.5% |
| Mira Shupe | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 7.3% |
| Chloe Lighterink | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 28.1% |
| Nathan Baer | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 20.1% | 25.8% |
| Paul Munsell | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 24.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 14.3% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.