Race 3A

maisa-womens

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sydney Bolger 29.1% 25.0% 15.1% 14.1% 9.5% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Magill 14.3% 15.3% 16.8% 15.7% 12.7% 9.0% 8.8% 4.8% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Stephanie Roble 12.8% 13.2% 16.2% 14.5% 13.5% 11.8% 8.1% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 5.3% 6.1% 7.2% 7.6% 9.4% 12.2% 16.1% 14.8% 11.9% 8.9% 0.5%
Caroline Patten 12.2% 13.6% 14.5% 11.7% 13.3% 12.7% 10.0% 5.9% 4.5% 1.6% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 2.6% 3.1% 4.4% 4.7% 5.3% 9.0% 8.8% 15.1% 19.2% 23.5% 4.3%
Amanda Johnson 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 8.7% 10.1% 14.7% 11.9% 13.9% 12.4% 7.2% 1.3%
Lauren Turner 10.7% 9.8% 11.7% 13.5% 14.0% 10.5% 11.9% 9.2% 6.7% 1.9% 0.1%
Meredith Carroll 3.0% 4.4% 3.2% 4.6% 6.9% 7.3% 10.9% 14.2% 18.3% 21.9% 5.3%
Melissa Bermudez 3.1% 2.8% 3.9% 4.8% 4.9% 7.8% 10.8% 13.7% 18.2% 26.5% 3.5%
Jessie Shifalo 0.5% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.8% 3.3% 7.2% 85.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.