Race 13B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mateo Farina 15.7% 16.5% 13.6% 12.0% 9.8% 10.1% 7.7% 6.0% 3.9% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 4.5% 4.8% 6.0% 6.1% 6.0% 7.7% 6.8% 7.9% 9.4% 12.9% 10.4% 11.4% 5.1% 1.0%
Olin Guck 4.8% 3.7% 2.9% 5.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.0% 7.7% 9.8% 11.0% 13.1% 14.6% 10.0% 1.2%
Peter Lobaugh 12.4% 12.4% 13.7% 12.7% 9.3% 9.7% 8.3% 7.6% 7.1% 3.2% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Max Katz-Christy 5.3% 5.5% 6.2% 6.9% 8.1% 8.8% 8.8% 8.4% 11.0% 11.0% 9.6% 6.0% 3.8% 0.6%
Hunter Zonnenberg 11.3% 9.2% 11.7% 11.2% 10.6% 10.4% 10.1% 6.2% 7.6% 5.4% 3.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Roman 8.9% 9.2% 9.6% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.1% 9.5% 7.4% 8.1% 5.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Joshua Dillon 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 5.3% 7.2% 5.0% 6.8% 9.0% 10.3% 11.2% 10.5% 11.1% 7.6% 1.2%
Bryan Trammell 8.6% 7.0% 9.2% 10.0% 9.0% 9.7% 11.2% 9.9% 7.8% 7.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.3% 0.2%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 1.1% 1.6% 1.3% 1.2% 1.8% 1.3% 2.6% 3.1% 5.1% 5.2% 10.2% 16.1% 33.4% 16.0%
Emil Tullberg 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 5.4% 5.9% 6.6% 7.9% 12.9% 18.3% 21.6% 7.0%
Connor Macken 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 9.1% 7.8% 9.6% 10.7% 9.0% 9.0% 9.4% 6.9% 3.2% 0.6%
Peter Joslin 15.2% 16.1% 12.7% 11.4% 11.3% 10.1% 6.9% 7.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Alison Keenan 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.0% 2.1% 3.5% 5.2% 12.1% 71.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.