Race 14B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Mateo Farina 15.9% 15.4% 15.2% 10.9% 10.9% 8.8% 7.9% 4.5% 5.4% 2.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 9.4% 8.9% 11.2% 9.0% 7.6% 11.2% 9.6% 8.2% 9.8% 6.7% 4.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Hunter Zonnenberg 11.6% 11.7% 11.2% 10.4% 11.9% 8.4% 9.5% 7.5% 7.4% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Lobaugh 12.7% 14.7% 11.4% 12.3% 10.3% 9.4% 8.2% 7.7% 5.9% 4.0% 1.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Emil Tullberg 1.6% 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.4% 4.9% 7.2% 9.0% 12.7% 18.9% 21.5% 5.8%
Peter Joslin 14.5% 14.0% 13.7% 13.4% 11.6% 7.5% 8.1% 6.7% 4.1% 4.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Connor Macken 6.7% 8.8% 5.6% 6.1% 7.2% 8.4% 9.9% 9.7% 9.2% 10.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.5% 0.7%
Nathan Selian 4.6% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 5.7% 6.5% 6.8% 9.1% 10.6% 9.3% 11.2% 11.6% 7.0% 1.7%
Jack Roman 8.3% 6.6% 9.0% 7.8% 9.8% 10.8% 11.2% 8.9% 8.5% 7.5% 7.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.3%
Joshua Dillon 4.0% 3.3% 4.6% 6.4% 5.4% 6.6% 7.1% 9.9% 9.9% 10.3% 13.2% 11.1% 6.5% 1.7%
Olin Guck 3.2% 3.3% 3.1% 4.3% 5.5% 6.7% 6.5% 7.5% 8.0% 12.1% 14.5% 13.1% 10.1% 2.1%
Max Katz-Christy 5.3% 6.3% 5.2% 8.3% 8.1% 9.2% 7.9% 10.9% 8.4% 9.7% 8.8% 7.6% 3.6% 0.7%
Olivia Hogan-Lopez 2.0% 0.8% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 2.1% 3.8% 4.8% 6.2% 8.0% 16.4% 33.8% 14.8%
Alison Keenan 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 2.3% 2.7% 6.2% 12.0% 71.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.