Race 2C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Bennett 8.8% 10.0% 10.2% 9.4% 10.7% 10.6% 10.0% 9.7% 9.3% 5.8% 3.5% 2.0% 0.0%
Peter Busch 16.0% 15.3% 14.8% 11.8% 11.2% 10.6% 7.3% 5.9% 3.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 5.7% 7.1% 6.1% 8.7% 10.4% 8.7% 10.2% 10.6% 10.1% 10.6% 8.3% 3.4% 0.1%
Drew Mastovsky 15.9% 15.0% 12.9% 13.2% 10.7% 9.9% 8.2% 6.2% 4.2% 2.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
William George 8.8% 7.7% 8.9% 8.7% 8.8% 10.0% 8.6% 12.2% 10.9% 6.8% 6.1% 2.4% 0.1%
Christophe Chaumont 7.8% 8.5% 8.9% 7.6% 10.1% 10.0% 11.8% 8.9% 10.2% 8.0% 4.8% 3.4% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 4.2% 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 4.6% 5.9% 6.5% 7.6% 11.1% 14.9% 16.9% 15.1% 1.2%
Alexander Horne 2.7% 3.3% 2.6% 3.2% 3.8% 3.6% 4.8% 7.4% 8.5% 15.8% 20.1% 22.3% 1.9%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.6% 4.5% 5.2% 6.2% 6.1% 7.7% 7.6% 10.6% 13.2% 12.5% 12.9% 8.2% 0.7%
Adrian Winkelman 10.6% 11.7% 11.9% 11.2% 9.3% 9.6% 9.9% 7.8% 8.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.0%
Alexander Lee 1.6% 1.0% 1.2% 2.3% 3.5% 2.6% 4.8% 4.3% 6.5% 11.6% 19.1% 37.5% 4.0%
Emily Lo 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.1% 4.2% 92.0%
Katharine Doble 13.2% 12.9% 13.6% 12.0% 10.6% 10.6% 10.2% 8.3% 3.4% 3.0% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.