Race 5C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 14.7% 13.0% 12.5% 11.5% 11.9% 10.9% 8.4% 7.4% 4.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1%
William George 7.0% 8.5% 8.8% 8.1% 10.4% 9.8% 9.2% 11.0% 11.2% 8.0% 6.0% 2.0% 0.0%
Gavin Monaghan 2.3% 2.3% 3.6% 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 6.1% 9.8% 10.6% 17.6% 17.0% 14.7% 1.1%
Peter Busch 17.0% 15.1% 13.6% 12.8% 10.9% 9.3% 8.1% 6.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Bennett 10.2% 10.2% 10.1% 11.1% 8.5% 10.0% 11.3% 8.4% 9.1% 6.4% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 10.1% 12.0% 11.3% 10.7% 10.6% 11.0% 10.3% 6.6% 8.2% 6.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Drew Mastovsky 16.1% 16.1% 11.4% 13.9% 11.5% 8.7% 7.8% 7.0% 4.5% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Christophe Chaumont 7.4% 8.1% 8.6% 8.6% 9.6% 10.5% 9.8% 11.2% 10.7% 8.1% 5.3% 2.1% 0.0%
Alexander Lee 1.3% 1.6% 3.0% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 2.9% 4.0% 6.3% 8.9% 17.7% 42.5% 3.8%
Adrien Bellanger 7.2% 5.7% 8.3% 8.3% 8.0% 9.1% 10.6% 10.0% 11.1% 9.7% 8.7% 3.0% 0.3%
Pearl Lattanzi 4.5% 4.8% 6.4% 6.1% 7.6% 6.7% 9.0% 11.7% 11.7% 13.3% 12.0% 5.6% 0.6%
Alexander Horne 2.0% 2.5% 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 6.3% 6.3% 7.6% 14.3% 22.5% 23.7% 1.9%
Emily Lo 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 4.1% 92.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.